TRAINER David Pfieffer is excited to see what Fluidity can produce first-up on a track likely to be rain-affected.
The Tickets four-year-old races in the Maiden Handicap (1350m) after a nine-week let-up and before that she showed plenty of promise with three placings from as many runs at her first preparation.
They were all on Good 3 tracks at Goulburn and, from barrier two with Corey Brown on board, she’ll appreciate some give in the track.
MATT JONES’ BEST BETS
FLAMIN’ AL (Race 4, No.1)
He was only beaten by a handy, more experienced horse on debut and will take plenty out of that and can go one better today.
MANHATTAN MIST (Race 7, No.5)
I just liked the way he’s been ticking over in stronger grade before this and any improvement third-up makes him a tough one to hold out.
FLUIDITY (Race 3, No.3)
She put in a good lead-up trial which proved she likes the cut in the ground and that’s something she didn’t get at her first preparation even though she raced well and could be a big improver today.
TRAINER TO WATCH
Brad Widdup could have a big day with Flamin’ Al, Rare Episode and Invictum Domina all top hopes.
JOCKEY TO WATCH
Josh Parr could ride a treble with Canyonero, Jarhead and Manhattan Mist looking like top hopes, as are Bobbing, Cool And Neat and Lilith.
Race 5: 2,6,8
Race 6: 1,5,7
Race 7: 5,7,8
Race 8: 1,2,5,7
Fluidity finished third in a lead-up trial at Warwick Farm on a Heavy 8 surface and that was the first time she’d performed in front of Pfieffer on wet ground.
“Her trial was really, really good and it showed she liked the wet track so that won’t worry her,” Pfieffer said.
“The track might be a bit tight for her but she did go really well first-up last preparation so I expect her to be competitive.
“She’s matured and the experience of last preparation will bring her on. I liked what I saw in her trial.
“I don’t think we’ll see her on the pace so she’ll have to make a nice move and circumnavigate around them.”
Snips will also be trying to break his maiden in the next race over 1200m and Brown also rides him. Snips ran second on debut at Gosford on October 4.
The Snitzel colt probably would have won on debut if he knew what the racing game was all about.
Josh Parr has eyes on a winning treble at Wyong. Picture: Simon BullardSource:News Corp Australia
Pfieffer expects him to make more progress off that debut run which was on a soft track and he’s bred to be able to handle heavy ground.
“I expect big improvement from him,’’ Pfieffer said. “He’s a very nice horse in the making. I think he’ll be a metropolitan horse eventually.
“He just showed his lack of experience last start. He hit the front and probably just idled a bit and allowed himself to get run down.
“I’m hoping he takes the next step in this race and the wide barrier doesn’t worry me too much. He’ll get in a pocket in behind them and should be in the finish.”
Madam Oaks is on debut for the Pfieffer stable in the opening race over 1000m for three-year-olds.
She’s a filly by Bullet Train and has had two lead-up trials, one on a wet track, to be ready for her first run. She needs to iron out a few common kinks before she puts it all together but Madam Oaks is showing promise.
“It’s probably a bit short of her best but she does have plenty of ability and with Corey on board she’ll get every opportunity,” Pfieffer said. “She’s going to need the experience but will race well.
“She’s just overdoing it early, hence the reason why I put her in a 1000m race first-up. Around that track, they’ll go quick so she should get her opportunity to go back and settle and get breathing right so she can let down in the finish.”
INSIDE MAIL WITH MATT JONES
Canyonero is resuming after running against the likes of Irish Bet, Futooh and King’s Trust in the past and the blinkers come off for the first time. The only trial (735m) from Katie Did It was a ripper and she’s a horse who looks promising. Madam Oaks just needs to settle and she can come off the back of one and let down well while Bonanova’s Dream improved from trial one to two.
Bet strategy: Quinella 2, 7
Set To Sizzle just needs to start better and he’ll give himself a chance. Jarhead ran behind Ulusaba last start and that wasn’t a bad form race. He’s going to win one soon and this looks ideal. Whitney’s Star and Trust Who are both third-up and peaking so they’ll be prominent in a race that’s not overly strong.
Bet strategy: Exacta 8, 9
Impetuoso looks to be in a ‘winnable’ race. She’s certainly got the talent to get the job done. Fluidity should revel in the wet ground and her trainer was very impressed with her lead-up trial and is looking forward to seeing her for the first time on a rain-affected track. Everlasting Love couldn’t get going early enough last start and she looks well-placed over a bit further, while Stealth Sniper is one to watch.
Bet strategy: Fluidity win
Flamin’ Al was beaten by talented import on debut and he’ll handle the wet track. Snips is also a big improver at start two. He might be saved for the last crack at them after he had a look around when he hit the front on debut. California Laestar is fit enough to run better and the blinkers have been added while Bentley Magic drops in grade.
Bet strategy: Flamin’ Al win
Rare Episode bolted in on debut on wet ground and while it’s hard to win two in a row to start a career he looks untapped. All Too Free is going to take a lot of benefit from first-up run where she hit the line hard over 1100m. Celer lost it at the start last time and had too much to do, but finished encouragingly.
Bet strategy: Rare Episode win
The formlines behind Mr Boomjangles say he’s right in this. He’ll handle the wet track and has been racing like he needs a mile. Cool And Neat can be relied on to put in a solid run. The Cartoonist has run behind some smart ones of late and doesn’t mind heavy going. He’ll run out a strong mile in testing conditions. Soir De Lune is a chance, too.
Bet strategy: Mr Boomjangles win
Invictum Domina comes to a strong enough provincial race off two city midweek wins and could almost lead all the way and win to make it three on the trot. Manhattan Mist provides a strong challenge. After his two city runs, he looks like he’s ready to peak. Niccobelle won impressively when resuming but doesn’t seem to repeat it second-up. Kris Lees’ horses I Am Awesome and Cordoned shouldn’t be dismissed.
Bet strategy: Quinella 5, 7
Bobbing looked fantastic winning first-up here. He’s putting together a nice record and loves the sting out of the ground. Thy Kingdom Come has had the tongue tie removed and he’s raced against better opposition than this and he’s won at the track and distance and also won fresh. Petain won well in lesser grade last start but the addition of blinkers can help him go to the level required. Miss Redoble and Sostenido are hopes.
Bet strategy: Thy Kingdom Come to win
SHAYNE O’CASS’ BEST BETS
ELEGANT ELLEN (Race 3, No.2)
A lightly-raced and handy type by Casino Prince. She dug in deep when challenged first-up to run second. That was 1200m off one trial. She’ll be fitter now and much harder to beat. Penza sticks.
ELKANO (Race 2, No.1)
Was in the market first-up when a slightly disappointing fifth of the eight runners here 19 days ago. Important to note that his lone win was second-up.
PARIS SIZZLER (Race 5, No.3)
Has ‘777’ alongside his name this campaign but was extremely unlucky at the first two then may not have appreciated the bottomless track at Warwick Farm next time. Big improver.
JOCKEY TO FOLLOW
Wish we could box trifecta the TAB jockeys’ challenge 1-2-3 today, we’d have Costin/O’Hara and Taylor. Straight out betting only though — Winona Costin to win.
Race 4: 1,2,10,12
Race 5: 1,3,8
Race 6: 1,4,7
Race 7: 10
Winona Costin is fancied to take out the jockeys’ challenge, Picture: Simon BullardSource:News Corp Australia
INSIDE MAIL WITH SHAYNE O’CASS
Jason Coyle, who has a fabulous strike rate and tally of winners at Nowra, saddles up two interesting horses in Dabster and stable recruit Psittacine. Both have trialled well, though their form isn’t great by any means. Graterra is a Mark Newnham gelding who was narrowly beaten here on debut 19 days ago. Drawn 1. Will have an army of admirers and for good reason.
Bet strategy: Dabster and Psittacine each way, box trifecta 2,7,8,11
Elkano was well supported first-up when moderate 5th of 8 runners in a Class 1 over 1400m here on October 2. The son of Lonhro had excellent form last campaign. Bottom line is, his only win came second-up. Zardoro has won just the one race from 11 starts but has been runner-up 5 times. Ran into a promising horse at Moruya last Saturday. Zioptimus is in the mix.
Bet strategy: Elkano win
Elegant Ellen is a lightly-raced and quite handy daughter of Casino Prince. Was a drifter first-up at Goulburn when len second. Bear in mind she was first-up over 1200m with a jump-out only so it was a mighty effort. Fudgewedge is a Wyong mare who was the top-rater here on the benchmarks and that has to count for something. Bon Anna is best of the rest.
Bet strategy: Elegant Ellen win
David Pfeiffer-trained gelding Provocative Man is knocking on the door for a win after two thirds at past two outings. Drawn wide but can overcome barrier. Art Of More is an Anthony and Edward Cummings-trained galloper who has placed at four of his nine starts often in better company than this. Not A Zin Zan was good at Gosford last start.
Bet strategy: Provocative Man win, box trifecta 1,2,10,12
Paris Sizzler had no luck at all at Mudgee and Newcastle then was never in the hunt when 7th at Warwick Farm on a bottomless Heavy 10 on Oct 10. The horse is better than the ‘777’ beside his name would indicate. Makes real appeal at the each-way odds. Drawn favourably. Bolord is a good old stager from the Gwenda Markwell camp. This son of God’s Own lines up for start number 54 today and will find this easier than what he has been racing for ages. Delude and Tempers Flare are in contention.
Bet strategy: Paris Sizzler each way
Mollymook Cup time and Terry Robinson has And There is More wearing blinkers for the first time. The son of Mossman was ½-len third in a Class 2 over 1040m at Moruya on Sep 28. This is his favoured trip given the record of a win, three seconds and a third from six 1200m attempts. Open race but looks a genuine hope. Charlie Chap at his ‘best’ would win by panels. A handy type on his day, the market will reveal all about his prospects. Coolotta was given 65.5kg for this owing to his benchmark. Has 3kg off but still a big weight. Might still be too good. Time will tell.
Bet strategy: And There Is More each way
Jersey Rose is a Matthew Smith-trained filly by All American who has run just twice before today, on debut at Randwick in a very deep race on Anzac Day where granted did nothing to speak of. She resumed at Canberra on Oct 5 and was a massive eye catcher running on from worse than midfield to be beaten just 2¼ lens. Fitter and do well here. Cabanga is another Warwick Farm-trained runner here. Progressive type from a good stable and has Chad Lever Up. No more to be said.
Bet strategy: Jersey Rose win
Jason Coyle has an excellent strike rate at Nowra. Picture: Mark EvansSource:News Corp Australia
JASON Coyle boasts an almost 50 per cent win/place strike rate with his horses at Nowra and is almost certain to add to his tally with a handful of major players.
Chief among them is the Benfica daughter Dabster who resumes alongside stable recruit Psittacine in the Mollymook Golf Club Maiden Plate (1100m).
Both horses share a similar CV with two unplaced runs at their respective first campaigns before a spell.
Punters who are prepared to judge the pair not on their race-day form but on trial form could be the big winners.
They have been the designated eye-catchers in their trials leading into their anticipated return to the races today.
Coyle is famous for placing his string to perfection and invariably walks away a winner when any have trialled up to the mark as both Dabtser and Psittacine have.
Rain in Sydney and particularly along the south coast means Nowra will, in all likelihood, be in the soft region, something the Group 1-winning trainer believes will play to their respective advantage.
“I think they will both appreciate the edge off the track,’’ Coyle said.
“Forget about their previous form; based on their trials they should be running really well.
“Dabster has had her issues but I was pleased with her trials and you can probably just put a line through Psittacine’s form. He has been gelded since being with Gerald Ryan and both trials have been very positive.
“Psittacine has a big, long stride on him. At this stage, he can go a bit keen but we’ll give him a couple of runs over the shorter journeys but I would love to see him over at least 1200m.
“He is the sort of horse who can sit off a nice tempo and wind-up into his races.’’
Coyle was bullish about the prospects of now-recognised Nowra specialist Citizen’s Arrest when she won at the venue 19 days ago and was proved correct.
Originally published as Raceday focus: Best bets at Wyong, Nowra
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