SuperCoach Racing Round 6: Rob Sutherland’s metric picks for Melbourne Cup Day

No surprises for guessing the main race of this round in SuperCoach Racing, and we’re lucky as one of the favoured runners get in cheap!

There are also a couple of G3 to target on the day then a mixture of Listed and lesser grade. It’s not a massive points day – which if you are chasing like me is a shame – but if you can nail the Cup winner as your captain then you’re sure to climb the rankings.

It’s not too late to enter the game and win the weekly prize: register and start picking your SuperCoach Stable now!

At just $200K Cup favourite Tiger Moth (L) is a near must for the round. Picture: PA Wire/PA Images via Getty ImagesSource:Getty Images

For those who are new to this column, each week I rank the leading contenders that offer a, hopefully, winning blend of popularity in the betting market and cheap SuperCoach price.

To compare apples with apples I have added a weighting to reflect the different points on offer for Group 1, 2, 3 and non black type races.

Below I list the 30 best rated horses, run through the stable I have selected and then throw in a bit of bonus analysis on the jockeys too.

THE 35 TOP-RATED HORSES FOR ROUND ONE (GROUP ONE IN BOLD):

FROM THIS LIST I HAVE SELECTED THE FOLLOWING STABLE OF 11 HORSES

Ingratiating is the hot favourite in the first race of the day (the first of the G3), at just $75K he is also the cheapest horse in my stable this round. I’ve doubled up in the race selecting Marine One – the expensive colt is yet to race but has been solid in betting and hey it’s a name bet what with the US election looming.

Ain’tnodeeldun was a Derby contender but connection opted to skip that race. The colt beat Derby winner Victoria Quay at his last start and looks to have this race at his mercy.

South Australian colt Alleboom flopped at his last start over 1,200m but steps back to 1,000m here. I don’t love the pick but will honour the metric and stick with it.

Joviality finished fifth at G1 level two starts back and then was just pipped in the Listed Reginald Allen at her last start, no sure thing but looks a class above the rest in the race.

Cordilla finally got a bit of luck and capitalised on it at her last start, she’s won at the track and distance before and here’s hoping she does again as the G3 points would be handy.

Purple Sector brings winning Sydney form to race 8 – it’s a tough race with some quality horses contesting it but I’ll take my chances.

And now to the Cup!

You can raise legitimate concerns around Tiger Moth’s Cup favouritism considering he’s had just four starts but that works a treat when it comes to SuperCoach as we get him for just $200K. Hotham winner Ashrun also comes into the game sneakily cheap (and could add real value in exotics just quietly). I consider both to be SuperCoach musts.

To them I have added a brace of $375K chances in Surprise Baby and Prince Of Arran. I rate the Prince as top chance in the Cup and my mate is all in on Surprise baby – plus she rates great in the metric.

Four runners in one race is not usually ideal in SC but it’s the only game in town this round so load up I say.

AND NOW TO JOCKEYS

Time is at a premium and I’ll try to add some analysis here tomorrow if I can. But Craig Williams looks to have a great book so he’ll take the Beasts’ reins tomorrow.

Originally published asRd 6: The Cup Day SuperCoach stable the bookies pick

Source: Read Full Article