Supercomputer predicts Champions League winner after last-16 draw

This season's Champions League winner has been predicted by supercomputer following Monday's last-16 draw.

Data boffins FiveThirtyEight have fed the latest stats into their computer to predict each team's chances of lifting the famous trophy – and the results are surprising.

Monday's draw saw three Premier League teams learn their opponents in the first knockout round when the competition resumes in February.

Liverpool were drawn against RB Leipzig, Manchester City landed a match-up with Borussia Moenchengladbach, and Chelsea were handed a tough tie against Atletico Madrid.

Holders Bayern Munich will face Lazio, Real Madrid must overcome surprise package Atalanta, while Lionel Messi and Kylian Mbappe are set to face off in a juicy tie between Barcelona and Paris-Saint Germain.

Cristiano Ronaldo and Juventus team-mates will face Porto, while the other ties sees Borussia Dortmund stars Jadon Sancho, Erling Haaland and Jude Bellingham come up against Europa League winners Sevilla.

Following the draw, FightThirtyEight analysed attacking and defensive stats along with other data, to give each team a percentage chance of victory, as reported by Sport Bible.

And the supercomputer made Pep Guardiola's side favourites – which is perhaps surprising given City's current struggles in the Premier League, and the fact that they haven't made it past the Champions League quarter-finals in the past three seasons.

City's chances of success increased partly as a result of being drawn against Moenchengladbach, who have not reached the last 16 of Europe's top club competition since 1978.

Also surprising is that Bayern Munich's chances are down at 19%, despite their demolition of Barcelona and Lyon on the way to beating PSG in last season's final.

The computer's third favourite on 12% was Barcelona, while Liverpool and Chelsea's chances have slipped to 6% after the Premier League rivals both landed tricky ties despite winning their respective groups.

Real Madrid are also on 6%, followed by Atletico on 5%, with Juventus, Dortmund and PSG all scoring 4%.

Leipzig are only given a 3% chance – one percentage point more than Atalanta and two more than Europa League specialists Sevilla.

And Moenchengladbach and Porto are both given next to no chance, at less than 1%.

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