{"id":289531,"date":"2023-09-21T22:04:08","date_gmt":"2023-09-21T22:04:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sportstoft.com\/?p=289531"},"modified":"2023-09-21T22:04:08","modified_gmt":"2023-09-21T22:04:08","slug":"nfl-fantasy-football-stats-trends-for-week-3-puka-nacuas-historic-start-russell-wilsons-renaissance","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sportstoft.com\/nfl\/nfl-fantasy-football-stats-trends-for-week-3-puka-nacuas-historic-start-russell-wilsons-renaissance\/","title":{"rendered":"NFL fantasy football stats &amp; trends for Week 3: Puka Nacua&#x27;s historic start; Russell Wilson&#x27;s renaissance"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em>Each week, NFL fantasy researcher Joel Smyth will identify important stats and trends to inform fantasy decisions ahead of your next matchup. These won&#8217;t be your basic, elementary stats, but rather deep and unique insights to give you an edge over your friends (and enemies).<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Here are nine notable nuggets ahead of Week 3 of the 2023 NFL season.<\/em><\/p>\n<h2>          <span>            Related Links          <\/span>        <\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>              Week 3 NFL picks: 49ers roll over Giants on Thursday night; Cowboys, Dolphins and Ravens improve to 3-0            <\/li>\n<li>              Fantasy football 2023 Week 3 sleepers: Rookie receivers for the win!            <\/li>\n<li>              2023 fantasy football flex rankings: Top 150 RB\/WR\/TE options in Week 3            <\/li>\n<li>              NFL Fantasy 2023 Start &#x27;Em, Sit &#x27;Em: Quarterbacks for Week 3            <\/li>\n<li>              NFL Fantasy 2023 Start &#x27;Em, Sit &#x27;Em: Running backs for Week 3            <\/li>\n<li>              NFL Fantasy 2023 Start &#x27;Em, Sit &#x27;Em: Wide receivers for Week 3            <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3>1) 24 Karat &#8230; or fool&#8217;s gold?<\/h3>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/static.www.nfl.com\/image\/private\/t_thumb_squared\/f_auto\/league\/emynpilqbr8huoh6vmhg\" src=\"data:image\/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAP\/\/\/wAAACH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAICRAEAOw==\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span>Spoiler: Kyren Williams is not prime Todd Gurley. But he might not have to be, as he <\/span><em>is<\/em><span> the clear-cut lead back for the Rams right now. Last week, Williams tied for last in the entire NFL in rushing yards over expected, per Next Gen Stats &#8212; a metric that evaluates how efficient and productive a player is with his rushing opportunities. Moreover, he\u2019s scored 80 percent of the Rams touchdowns so far, a number that is guaranteed to regress moving forward. But there <\/span><em>is <\/em><span>good news! Williams has received more passing-game volume than <\/span><em>any<\/em><span> running back in the league this season. He\u2019s drawn 12 targets on 69 routes &#8212; most among RBs by 13 routes &#8212; resulting in the third-most <\/span><em>receiving<\/em><span> fantasy points at the position. Last season, the average target was worth 2.45 times more fantasy points than the average carry. The receiving volume alone makes Williams a weekly start until further notice.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3>2) More (injured) calf than bull<\/h3>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/static.www.nfl.com\/image\/private\/t_thumb_squared\/f_auto\/league\/jzzqz5ubkilrn9dpxtlp\" src=\"data:image\/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAP\/\/\/wAAACH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAICRAEAOw==\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span>One stat clearly highlights the debilitating effect of Burrow\u2019s lingering calf injury. Over the previous two years, the Bengals quarterback led the NFL in fantasy points and touchdowns on throws of 15-plus air yards &#8212; a.k.a., deeper passes. That elite downfield thrower is now missing from Cincy. After having at least one completion of 15-plus air yards in <\/span><em>every<\/em><span> game last season, Burrow has started the year 0-for-12 in this area, resulting in <\/span><em>negative-two<\/em><span> fantasy points on those passes. Until Burrow is fully healthy, a necessarily more conservative approach will likely lower the fantasy ceilings for all Bengals players.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3>3) Puka Troopa<\/h3>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/static.www.nfl.com\/image\/private\/t_thumb_squared\/f_auto\/league\/br1ovzclyrebrec6q0mp\" src=\"data:image\/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAP\/\/\/wAAACH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAICRAEAOw==\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span>Puka has already joined a group of legends &#8230; and established a class of his own. Not only was his 20-target game last week the NFL&#8217;s first since teammate Cooper Kupp in 2020, but his 35 targets total are the most <\/span><em>ever<\/em><span> through two career games, and it\u2019s not close. Anquan Boldin held the record for 15 years at a mere 27 targets. Interestingly, the two receivers are nearly the same size &#8212; checking in at 6-foot-1 and 200-plus pounds &#8212; and both were heavily criticized for slow 40-yard dashes at pre-draft workouts. That didn\u2019t stop Boldin from finishing his rookie season with 17.5 fantasy points per game (good for the WR5 in 2003). And so far, Nacua is ahead there as well (by a lot), averaging 26.0 PPG through two weeks.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3>4) The QB1 is &#8230; Russell Wilson?<\/h3>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/static.www.nfl.com\/image\/private\/t_thumb_squared\/f_auto\/league\/gebzv2aljujgleboe4ns\" src=\"data:image\/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAP\/\/\/wAAACH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAICRAEAOw==\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span>Have an open mind for a minute. Mr. Unlimited averaged fewer than 14 points through most of the 2022 season. I get it. We all watched it. But he was also the overall QB1 for the five-season stretch from 2017 through 2021. A fantasy stud, year after year, swiftly written off. How certain are we that Wilson was to blame for last year? Since former head coach Nathaniel Hackett was fired by Denver after Week 16, Russ has been back to his QB1 ways. In the past four weeks of regular-season football, dating back to last season, Russell Wilson &#8212; that man fantasy managers love to hate &#8212; is the overall QB1. More than 87 fantasy points. Coaching matters in the NFL. And in this case, maybe it matters for fantasy.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3>5) Sneak peek at the future of Indy<\/h3>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/static.www.nfl.com\/image\/private\/t_thumb_squared\/f_auto\/league\/bqrc00wmzjbz1asoapvk\" src=\"data:image\/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAP\/\/\/wAAACH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAICRAEAOw==\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span>Usually, when a player has two rushing touchdowns in a quarter, I\u2019d be cautious of regression, especially at the quarterback position. But Richardson isn\u2019t just any quarterback &#8212; and Shane Steichen isn\u2019t just any coach. A reminder: Steichen came from Philadelphia, where Jalen Hurts has scored eight \u201clayup\u201d rushing touchdowns from the 1-yard line since 2022, thanks to the now-infamous Philly sneak. Hurts doubled up every other quarterback in 1-yard TD runs last season, but you can expect Richardson to challenge for that throne as opportunities arise. Three rushing touchdowns already for the Colts rookie, but zero from Steichen\u2019s go-to goal-line play \u2026 for now. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p><span>P.S. Richardson is averaging the most fantasy points per snap by a rookie quarterback in the Super Bowl era. Yes, he\u2019s only played in five quarters &#8212; and now he&#8217;s questionable for this week&#8217;s game &#8212; but the gimme rushing touchdowns to come will help maintain that pace. A true fantasy cheat code.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n<h3>6) Pierced through the line<\/h3>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/static.www.nfl.com\/image\/private\/t_thumb_squared\/f_auto\/league\/lcq9gwdxdbcymz2ggglx\" src=\"data:image\/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAP\/\/\/wAAACH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAICRAEAOw==\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span>Fantasy managers are upset, to say the least, with the Texans\u2019 2022 breakout back through two weeks. Rightfully so. Good news: It\u2019s not his fault! Bad news: Nothing is going to change. After ranking fifth in carries per game last season, Pierce has fallen to 25th among running backs. Quarterback C.J. Stroud has been forced to throw 91 passes in his first two career starts, leaving little work for the Texans&#8217; rushing attack.<\/span> <span>And to make matters worse, Pierce has more rushing yards <\/span><em>after contact<\/em><span> than actual box score rushing yards. Yes, that is possible. With defensive lines living in the Houston backfield, Pierce has managed just 69 total rushing yards despite logging 78 yards after initial contact by a defender. It\u2019s a mess. Try to trade him off a big week soon.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3>7) D\u00e9j\u00e0 vu in Seattle<\/h3>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/static.www.nfl.com\/image\/private\/t_thumb_squared\/f_auto\/league\/rwdj1bljth8fyojof5dp\" src=\"data:image\/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAP\/\/\/wAAACH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAICRAEAOw==\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span>Remember when Seattle\u2019s stud running back took a fantasy-value gut shot in the offseason after the team drafted a new stud early in the draft? No, no &#8212; I\u2019m not talking about Kenneth Walker III (yet). I\u2019m talking about Chris Carson back in 2018. The Seahawks scooped up Rashaad Penny in the first round \u2026 and Carson went from averaging 14 touches and 10 fantasy points in 2017 to 19 touches and 14 points with Penny in town. Carson\u2019s output was good for RB15, an <\/span><em>improvement<\/em><span> on the year prior. OK, now fast-forward to 2023. Walker is on the same path. He had 17 touches and 14 fantasy points per game last year, before the \u2018Hawks spent the No. 52 overall pick on Zach Charbonnet. Through two games, Walker is averaging 17 touches and 15 points, on pace to be the RB12. Meanwhile, Charbonnet is sitting at RB60, in the same neighborhood as Penny (the RB67 in his rookie year). History repeats itself. And Walker is good.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3>8) Love springs anew<\/h3>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/static.www.nfl.com\/image\/private\/t_thumb_squared\/f_auto\/league\/sbnqsffanu76dcz1tugs\" src=\"data:image\/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAP\/\/\/wAAACH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAICRAEAOw==\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span>Love is off and running, giving the Packers&#8217; fan base a sequel of new-starter success. Rewind to 2008. Aaron Rodgers begins the year as Green Bay\u2019s new starting QB after waiting behind Brett Favre for multiple years. Two games later, Rodgers was already averaging 23 fantasy points per game and was tied for third in passing touchdowns. The future MVP was the QB20 off the board in drafts that year, a few spots higher than Love\u2019s 2023 ADP of QB26. Different year, same story. Love is currently the QB2 in fantasy and tied for the NFL lead in passing touchdowns. Rodgers finished as the QB2 in 2008. Should we have learned our lesson? Is this Love for real? Only time will tell.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3>9) Dak&#8217;s new bestie<\/h3>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/static.www.nfl.com\/image\/private\/t_thumb_squared\/f_auto\/league\/xy9bvf3d9yjprwigiqty\" src=\"data:image\/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAP\/\/\/wAAACH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAICRAEAOw==\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span>If you had to guess who\u2019s leading the NFL in red zone targets, Tyreek Hill or maybe DK Metcalf would be logical answers. Not many would guess Jake Ferguson &#8212; especially considering many might not even know the name yet. The Cowboys tight end has been targeted <\/span><em>seven<\/em><span> times in the red area this season, <\/span><span>two more than the next-closest player<\/span><span>. Ferguson could be a potential add or buy-low candidate, as he\u2019s heavily involved in a productive offense and seems to have taken on Dalton Schultz\u2019s old role in Dallas. Last season <\/span><span>with <\/span><span>Dak Prescott as his quarterback<\/span><span>, Schultz was fourth in targets and sixth in fantasy points among tight ends. Ferguson has had a slower start in the fantasy box score, but Prescott and the Cowboys haven\u2019t needed to lean on the pass in a pair of blowouts over the Giants (40-0) and Jets (30-10). Prescott won\u2019t average less than 200 passing yards per game all year (as he is now) &#8212; that number will climb toward the 287 per-game mark from his previous four seasons. And Ferguson could benefit.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nfl.com\/news\/nfl-fantasy-football-stats-trends-for-week-3-puka-nacua-s-historic-start-russell\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Read Full Article<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<div class=\"mh-excerpt\"><p>Each week, NFL fantasy researcher Joel Smyth will identify important stats and trends to inform fantasy decisions ahead of your next matchup. These won&#8217;t be <a class=\"mh-excerpt-more\" href=\"https:\/\/sportstoft.com\/nfl\/nfl-fantasy-football-stats-trends-for-week-3-puka-nacuas-historic-start-russell-wilsons-renaissance\/\" title=\"NFL fantasy football stats &amp; trends for Week 3: Puka Nacua&#x27;s historic start; Russell Wilson&#x27;s renaissance\">[&#8230;]<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":289530,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-289531","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nfl"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v24.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>NFL fantasy football stats &amp; trends for Week 3: Puka Nacua&#x27;s historic start; Russell Wilson&#x27;s renaissance - Sportstoft<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/sportstoft.com\/nfl\/nfl-fantasy-football-stats-trends-for-week-3-puka-nacuas-historic-start-russell-wilsons-renaissance\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"NFL fantasy football stats &amp; trends for Week 3: Puka Nacua&#x27;s historic start; Russell Wilson&#x27;s renaissance - Sportstoft\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Each week, NFL fantasy researcher Joel Smyth will identify important stats and trends to inform fantasy decisions ahead of your next matchup. 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