{"id":296897,"date":"2023-12-02T10:27:54","date_gmt":"2023-12-02T10:27:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sportstoft.com\/?p=296897"},"modified":"2023-12-02T10:27:54","modified_gmt":"2023-12-02T10:27:54","slug":"man-uniteds-champions-league-prospects-calculated-by-opta","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sportstoft.com\/soccer\/man-uniteds-champions-league-prospects-calculated-by-opta\/","title":{"rendered":"Man United&apos;s Champions League prospects calculated by Opta"},"content":{"rendered":"<h1> REVEALED: Opta supercomputer rates Manchester United&#8217;s chances of making the Champions League last 16 after Galatasaray horror show&#8230; and it doesn&#8217;t make pretty reading for Erik ten Hag&#8217;s side!<\/h1>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>United&#8217;s chances of making the last-16 were dented in 3-3 Galatasaray draw<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>Opta&#8217;s supercomputer has calculated their prospects of making it through<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>Manchester United in a mess &#8211; they have a collapse in them &#8211; It&#8217;s All Kicking Off\u00a0<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Manchester United&#8217;s hopes of reaching the Champions League knockout rounds are dangling by a thread after another defensive horror show.<\/p>\n<p>They threw away 2-0 and 3-1 leads to draw 3-3 with Galatasaray on Wednesday night and their last-16 destiny is now out of their hands.<\/p>\n<p>United will need to beat Bayern Munich at Old Trafford on matchday six on December 12 and hope the other game between Copenhagen and Galatasaray ends all-square.<\/p>\n<p>That&#8217;s reflected in Opta&#8217;s latest calculations, which show a minuscule six per cent chance of United making it through.<\/p>\n<p>Even worse, Erik ten Hag&#8217;s side are given a 66.3 per cent probability of crashing out of Europe entirely by finishing bottom of the group.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i.dailymail.co.uk\/1s\/2023\/12\/02\/09\/78497809-12817313-image-a-1_1701509700469.jpg\" height=\"412\" width=\"634\"><\/p>\n<p>Manchester United&#8217;s Champions League chances hang by a thread after their 3-3 draw with Galatasaray on Wednesday &#8211; with their fate out of their own hands ahead of matchday six<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i.dailymail.co.uk\/1s\/2023\/12\/02\/09\/78497805-12817313-image-a-2_1701509738746.jpg\" height=\"460\" width=\"634\"><\/p>\n<p>Erik ten Hag&#8217;s side are bottom of Group A and need favours from elsewhere to progress<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i.dailymail.co.uk\/1s\/2023\/12\/02\/09\/78498079-12817313-image-a-3_1701509807005.jpg\" height=\"293\" width=\"634\"><\/p>\n<p>United need to beat Bayern Munich at Old Trafford and hope that Copenhagen and Galatasaray draw to snatch second place and reach the last-16<\/p>\n<p>Your browser does not support iframes.<\/p>\n<p>Opta rate their prospects of finishing third and going into the Europa League at 27.6 per cent.<\/p>\n<p>Copenhagen &#8211; currently second in Group A and ahead of Galatasaray on overall goal difference &#8211; have home advantage on December 12 and are given a 55.2 per cent chance of making the last-16, compared to the Turkish club&#8217;s 38.7 per cent.<\/p>\n<p>Goals by Alejandro Garnacho and Bruno Fernandes put United in a commanding position in the hostile atmosphere of RAMS Park on Wednesday night.<\/p>\n<p>But goalkeeper Andre Onana allowed Hakim Ziyech&#8217;s free-kick to beat him to allow Galatasaray a route back into the contest.<\/p>\n<p>United restored their two-goal advantage with Scott McTominay&#8217;s goal early in the second-half, only for Onana to commit an even worse blunder to allow Ziyech to score again.<\/p>\n<p>Kerem Akturkoglu then lashed home Galatasaray&#8217;s equaliser to put a massive dent in United&#8217;s last-16 hopes.<\/p>\n<p>Ten Hag&#8217;s team, by contrast, are the form team of the Premier League with five wins from their last six games.<\/p>\n<p>They return to domestic duty with a tough trip to Newcastle United on Saturday night.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i.dailymail.co.uk\/1s\/2023\/12\/02\/09\/78498077-12817313-image-a-10_1701509886595.jpg\" height=\"275\" width=\"634\"><\/p>\n<p>Opta have worked out United&#8217;s chances of reaching the knockout stages at just six per cent<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i.dailymail.co.uk\/1s\/2023\/12\/02\/09\/78497811-12817313-image-a-11_1701509946550.jpg\" height=\"436\" width=\"634\"><\/p>\n<p>Goalkeeper Andre Onana was to blame for two of Galatasaray&#8217;s goals as United collapsed<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i.dailymail.co.uk\/1s\/2023\/12\/02\/09\/78497807-12817313-image-a-12_1701509968185.jpg\" height=\"426\" width=\"634\"><\/p>\n<p>They have performed poorly throughout a group stage that has seen three defeats\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>While Manchester City and Arsenal have booked their spots in the Champions League knockouts, Newcastle must beat AC Milan in their final group game to stand a chance of progressing.<\/p>\n<p>They also need Borussia Dortmund to get at least a point against Paris Saint-Germain.<\/p>\n<p>The Opta supercomputer rates Newcastle&#8217;s chances of making it through at 37.6 per cent.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Failing that, they are calculated to have a 38.4 per cent chance of taking the Europa League slot and 23.9 per cent of crashing out of Europe altogether.<\/p>\n<p>PSG can still top the group but Dortmund are regarded as the favourites on 70.3 per cent. They have home advantage for the concluding game on December 13.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i.dailymail.co.uk\/1s\/2023\/12\/02\/09\/78498081-12817313-image-a-13_1701509985361.jpg\" height=\"275\" width=\"634\"><\/p>\n<p>Opta give Newcastle United a 37.6 per cent chance of making it through to the knockouts<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i.dailymail.co.uk\/1s\/2023\/12\/02\/09\/78498317-12817313-image-a-14_1701510027240.jpg\" height=\"423\" width=\"634\"><\/p>\n<p>Newcastle were moments away from a famous away victory over Paris Saint-Germain<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i.dailymail.co.uk\/1s\/2023\/12\/02\/09\/78348823-12817313-Debate_will_rage_over_whether_Tino_Livramento_should_have_been_p-a-15_1701510061527.jpg\" height=\"423\" width=\"634\"><\/p>\n<p>Debate will rage over whether Tino Livramento should have been penalised for a handball after it ricocheted off his chest first<\/p>\n<h3>IT&#8217;S ALL KICKING OFF!\u00a0<\/h3>\n<p><span><span>It&#8217;s All Kicking Off is an exciting new podcast from Mail Sport that promises a different take on Premier League football.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span><span>It is available on MailOnline, Mail+, YouTube, Apple Music and Spotify.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p>Your browser does not support iframes.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i.dailymail.co.uk\/i\/pix\/2017\/08\/02\/636x90_facebook_ad_sport.png\" width=\"636\" height=\"90\"><br \/>\nSource: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dailymail.co.uk\/sport\/football\/article-12817313\/Opta-supercomputer-rates-Manchester-Uniteds-chances-making-Champions-League-16.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Read Full Article<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<div class=\"mh-excerpt\"><p>REVEALED: Opta supercomputer rates Manchester United&#8217;s chances of making the Champions League last 16 after Galatasaray horror show&#8230; and it doesn&#8217;t make pretty reading for <a class=\"mh-excerpt-more\" href=\"https:\/\/sportstoft.com\/soccer\/man-uniteds-champions-league-prospects-calculated-by-opta\/\" title=\"Man United&amp;apos;s Champions League prospects calculated by Opta\">[&#8230;]<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":296896,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[19],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-296897","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-soccer"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v24.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Man United&amp;apos;s Champions League prospects calculated by Opta - Sportstoft<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/sportstoft.com\/soccer\/man-uniteds-champions-league-prospects-calculated-by-opta\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Man United&amp;apos;s Champions League prospects calculated by Opta - Sportstoft\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"REVEALED: Opta supercomputer rates Manchester United&#8217;s chances of making the Champions League last 16 after Galatasaray horror show&#8230; 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